Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Ljubljana, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday


	Mona Barthel		Oleksandra Oliynykova

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	2.7	1.42
	2.65	1.42
	3.09	1.38
	1.54	2.46	Watch
	2.81	1.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.27)	1.57 ↑ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mona Barthel
37%

Oleksandra Oliynykova
63%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

59.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

60.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mona Barthel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Oleksandra Oliynykova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mona Barthel than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oleksandra Oliynykova than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Mona Barthel - Oleksandra Oliynykova Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Barthel will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Oliynykova will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Oliynykova (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Oliynykova (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Oliynykova (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Barthel is ranked WTA: 220. Oliynykova is ranked WTA: 175.

Barthel has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Oliynykova is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Barthel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Oliynykova is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Oliynykova will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Oleksandra Oliynykova - the odds 1.53 are the expected chance of winning is 59.74%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mona Barthel
ATP Challenger
11.09.25	Nuria Brancaccio - Mona Barthel	1:2 ✺
09.09.25	Mona Barthel - Ipek Oz	2:1 ✺
02.09.25	Darja Semenistaja - Mona Barthel	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.08.25	Mona Barthel - Joy De Zeeuw	Canceled ✺
WTA US Open
18.08.25	Tereza Valentova - Mona Barthel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWL?L
- Oleksandra Oliynykova
ATP Challenger
11.09.25	Teodora Kostovic - Oleksandra Oliynykova	0:2 ✺
09.09.25	Oleksandra Oliynykova - Tamara Zidansek	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Darja Semenistaja - Oleksandra Oliynykova	2:1 ✺
05.09.25	Simona Waltert - Oleksandra Oliynykova	1:2 ✺
03.09.25	Teodora Kostovic - Oleksandra Oliynykova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLWW

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