Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: VALENCIA (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 21 November 2023, Tuesday


	Elias Ymer		Pedro Martinez Portero

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.21	1.61	Watch
	2.25	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.08)	1.61 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elias Ymer
42.3%

Pedro Martinez Portero
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elias Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Pedro Martinez Portero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Elias Ymer - Pedro Martinez Portero Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ymer will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Martinez Portero will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ymer: 15.4% – 84.6%.

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Preview

Recent matches Ymer is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Martinez Portero in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Martinez Portero could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Martinez Portero to win the game is with odds 1.68.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ymer won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elias Ymer
ATP Challenger
15.11.23	Elias Ymer - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
13.11.23	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Elias Ymer	1:2 ✺
08.11.23	Francisco Comesana - Elias Ymer	2:1 ✺
07.11.23	Elias Ymer - Franco Agamenone	2:1 ✺
01.11.23	Elias Ymer - Daniel Elahi Galan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLWL
- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Challenger
29.10.23	Benjamin Bonzi - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
28.10.23	Pedro Martinez Portero - Constant Lestienne	2:0 ✺
27.10.23	Zsombor Piros - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
26.10.23	Radu Albot - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
24.10.23	Pedro Martinez Portero - Jaume Munar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
06.09.23	Elias Ymer - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0
ATP Gstaad
21.07.22	Pedro Martinez Portero - Elias Ymer	2:1
ATP Rio de Janeiro
17.02.19	Elias Ymer - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:1
ATP Challenger
18.08.17	Pedro Martinez Portero - Elias Ymer	0:1

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