Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Braga - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday


	Oleksii Krutykh		Filip Pieczonka

	1	2
			Watch
	1.8	1.87
	1.85	1.85
	1.83	1.87	Watch
	1.82	1.93
	1.82	1.86	Watch
	1.82	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.65)	1.88 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oleksii Krutykh
50.7%

Filip Pieczonka
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oleksii Krutykh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oleksii Krutykh's form might have worsened.

Filip Pieczonka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Filip Pieczonka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oleksii Krutykh than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oleksii Krutykh, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Filip Pieczonka than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Filip Pieczonka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Oleksii Krutykh - Filip Pieczonka Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Krutykh will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Pieczonka will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Krutykh is ranked ATP: 449., and Pieczonka is ranked ATP: 902..

Krutykh has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Pieczonka shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Krutykh may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Krutykh has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Oleksii Krutykh - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 55.88%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oleksii Krutykh
ATP Challenger
04.10.26	Oleksii Krutykh - Francisco Rocha	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.09.26	Petros Tsitsipas - Oleksii Krutykh	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
20.09.26	Photos Photiades - Oleksii Krutykh	Canceled ✺
19.09.26	Menelaos Efstathiou - Oleksii Krutykh	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.09.26	Massimo Giunta - Oleksii Krutykh	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WL?WL
- Filip Pieczonka
ATP Challenger
04.10.26	Filip Pieczonka - Adrian Oetzbach	2:0 ✺
17.09.26	Filip Pieczonka - Marco Trungelliti	1:2 ✺
15.09.26	Tiago Pereira - Filip Pieczonka	1:2 ✺
14.09.26	Filip Pieczonka - Mykyta Mashtakov	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Filip Pieczonka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
10.07.24	Filip Pieczonka - Oleksii Krutykh	2:1

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