Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Szczecin, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 September 2026, Tuesday


	Tiago Pereira		Filip Pieczonka

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.00	1.72
	1.98	1.74	Watch
	2.07	1.81
	1.98	1.73	Watch
	2	1.79
	1.97	1.73	Watch
	1.98	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.56)	1.75 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tiago Pereira
46.7%

Filip Pieczonka
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiago Pereira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tiago Pereira's form might have worsened.

Filip Pieczonka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Filip Pieczonka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiago Pereira than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tiago Pereira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Filip Pieczonka than the current prediction. (-15.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Filip Pieczonka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Tiago Pereira - Filip Pieczonka Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Pieczonka will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Pereira is ranked ATP: 338. Pieczonka is ranked ATP: 1112.

Pereira has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pieczonka is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Pieczonka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Pereira will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Tiago Pereira - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 58.95%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiago Pereira
ATP Challenger
14.09.26	Tiago Pereira - Rudolf Molleker	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Tiago Pereira - Imanol Lopez Morillo	2:1 ✺
10.09.26	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Tiago Pereira	2:0 ✺
08.09.26	Tiago Pereira - Marco Trungelliti	2:1 ✺
07.09.26	Tiago Pereira - Pavel Lagutin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWLWL
- Filip Pieczonka
ATP Challenger
14.09.26	Filip Pieczonka - Mykyta Mashtakov	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Filip Pieczonka	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.08.26	Filip Pieczonka - Michael Savano	1:2 ✺
28.08.26	Gerard Campana Lee - Filip Pieczonka	0:2 ✺
27.08.26	Filip Pieczonka - Oleg Prihodko	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.1 WWLWW

Tiago Pereira - Filip Pieczonka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide