Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: HAMBURG (GERMANY), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 17 October 2023, Tuesday


	Oleksii Krutykh		Illya Marchenko

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.25	1.58	Watch
	2.34	1.63
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.21	1.61	Watch
	2.15	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.08)	1.62 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oleksii Krutykh
42.2%

Illya Marchenko
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oleksii Krutykh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Illya Marchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oleksii Krutykh than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illya Marchenko than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Oleksii Krutykh - Illya Marchenko Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Krutykh will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Marchenko will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Krutykh is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Marchenko is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Krutykh could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Marchenko to win the game is with odds 1.66.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oleksii Krutykh
ATP Challenger
05.10.23	Oleksii Krutykh - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
04.10.23	Oleksii Krutykh - Gerard Campana Lee	2:1 ✺
02.10.23	Oleksii Krutykh - Carlos Taberner	2:0 ✺
01.10.23	Oleksii Krutykh - Fabio Coelho	2:0 ✺
25.09.23	Oleksii Krutykh - Javier Barranco Cosano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWWL
- Illya Marchenko
ATP Challenger
13.10.23	Joris De Loore - Illya Marchenko	2:1 ✺
12.10.23	Illya Marchenko - Norbert Gombos	2:1 ✺
10.10.23	Dennis Novak - Illya Marchenko	0:2 ✺
09.10.23	Illya Marchenko - Kacper Zuk	2:0 ✺
08.10.23	Illya Marchenko - Evgeny Karlovskiy	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWWW

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