Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: HAMBURG (GERMANY), HARD (INDOOR) - FINAL

Date: 22 October 2023, Sunday


	Dennis Novak		Illya Marchenko

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.53	2.35
	1.58	2.25
	1.64	2.35
	1.65	2.35
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.56	2.35	Watch
	1.58	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.55)	2.34 ↓ (2.4)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dennis Novak
59.8%

Illya Marchenko
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dennis Novak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Illya Marchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dennis Novak than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illya Marchenko than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Dennis Novak - Illya Marchenko Predictions

Users Predictions: Dennis Novak will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Novak will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Novak won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dennis Novak
ATP Challenger
21.10.23	Dennis Novak - Tristan Lamasine	2:1 ✺
20.10.23	Dennis Novak - Javier Barranco Cosano	2:0 ✺
18.10.23	Dennis Novak - Antoine Bellier	2:0 ✺
16.10.23	Dennis Novak - Marko Topo	2:0 ✺
10.10.23	Dennis Novak - Illya Marchenko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWWL
- Illya Marchenko
ATP Challenger
21.10.23	Billy Harris - Illya Marchenko	1:2 ✺
20.10.23	Illya Marchenko - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
18.10.23	Illya Marchenko - Altug Celikbilek	2:1 ✺
17.10.23	Oleksii Krutykh - Illya Marchenko	0:2 ✺
13.10.23	Joris De Loore - Illya Marchenko	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
10.10.23	Dennis Novak - Illya Marchenko	0:2

Dennis Novak - Illya Marchenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide