Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Mataro, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 May 2025, Friday


	Oleksii Krutykh		Miguel Damas

	1	2
			Watch
	1.44	2.69
	1.45	2.64	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.31	3.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.69)	2.66 ↑ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oleksii Krutykh
64.4%

Miguel Damas
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oleksii Krutykh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oleksii Krutykh's performance.

Miguel Damas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Miguel Damas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oleksii Krutykh than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oleksii Krutykh that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miguel Damas than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Miguel Damas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Oleksii Krutykh - Miguel Damas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Krutykh is ranked ATP: 450. Damas is ranked ATP: 461.

In recent matches, Krutykh has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Damas is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Krutykh may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oleksii Krutykh
ITF Tournaments
22.05.25	Andres Santamarta Roig - Oleksii Krutykh	0:2 ✺
20.05.25	Sebastian Fanselow - Oleksii Krutykh	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.05.25	Oleksii Krutykh - Franco Agamenone	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.04.25	Mees Rottgering - Oleksii Krutykh	2:0 ✺
23.04.25	Gokberk Saritas - Oleksii Krutykh	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLLW
- Miguel Damas
ITF Tournaments
22.05.25	Miguel Damas - Ryan Nijboer	2:0 ✺
21.05.25	Miguel Damas - Buvaysar Gadamauri	2:0 ✺
17.05.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Miguel Damas	2:1 ✺
16.05.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
15.05.25	Maxence Beauge - Miguel Damas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWLWW

Oleksii Krutykh - Miguel Damas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide