Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Liege, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Liege 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Lorenzo Giustino		Miguel Damas

	1	2
	1.53	2.35
	1.56	2.35
	1.61	2.42
	1.56	2.27	Watch
	1.59	2.35
	1.55	2.30	Watch
	1.52	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.5)	2.35 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Giustino
60.1%

Miguel Damas
39.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.4%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Miguel Damas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miguel Damas than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Lorenzo Giustino - Miguel Damas Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Giustino will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Damas will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Giustino is ranked ATP: 226. Damas is ranked ATP: 280.

Giustino is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Damas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Damas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Giustino might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Giustino won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Challenger
10.07.26	Jack Loge - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
08.07.26	Emilien Demanet - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
07.07.26	Leo Raquillet - Lorenzo Giustino	1:2 ✺
04.07.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Kilian Feldbausch	0:2 ✺
03.07.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Igor Marcondes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWLW
- Miguel Damas
ATP Challenger
10.07.26	Manas Manoj Dhamne - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
08.07.26	Miguel Damas - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	2:1 ✺
06.07.26	Miguel Damas - Harold Huens	2:0 ✺
29.06.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
23.06.26	Miguel Damas - Benjamin Hassan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
05.02.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Miguel Damas	2:0
19.11.25	Miguel Damas - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2
ITF Tournaments
15.08.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Miguel Damas	2:0
17.05.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Miguel Damas	2:1

Lorenzo Giustino - Miguel Damas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide