Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 San Diego, CA 3, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 June 2025, Friday


	Oliver Tarvet		Toby Samuel

	1	2
	1.55	2.25
	1.83	1.94
			Watch
	1.72	2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.55)	2.06 ↓ (2.36)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oliver Tarvet
54.8%

Toby Samuel
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oliver Tarvet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oliver Tarvet's form might have worsened.

Toby Samuel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toby Samuel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliver Tarvet than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oliver Tarvet, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toby Samuel than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toby Samuel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Tarvet is ranked ATP: 748. Samuel is ranked ATP: 921.

Tarvet is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Samuel is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tarvet may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tarvet could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Tarvet will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oliver Tarvet
ITF Tournaments
12.06.25	Alfredo Perez - Oliver Tarvet	1:2 ✺
11.06.25	Oliver Tarvet - Phillip Jordan	2:0 ✺
08.06.25	Oliver Tarvet - Leo Vithoontien	2:0 ✺
07.06.25	Andrew Fenty - Oliver Tarvet	0:2 ✺
06.06.25	Tyler Stice - Oliver Tarvet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWWW
- Toby Samuel
ITF Tournaments
12.06.25	Toby Samuel - Jack Anthrop	2:0 ✺
11.06.25	Keshav Chopra - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.05.25	Toby Samuel - Clement Chidekh	0:2 ✺
30.05.25	Stuart Parker - Toby Samuel	1:2 ✺
29.05.25	Toby Samuel - Radu Albot	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLWW

Oliver Tarvet - Toby Samuel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide