Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Chisinau, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 May 2025, Friday


	Stuart Parker		Toby Samuel

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.95	1.75	Watch
	2.01	1.72	Watch
	2.12	1.76
	2.05	1.74	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.02	1.73	Watch
	2.01	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.85)	1.74 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stuart Parker
46.2%

Toby Samuel
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stuart Parker has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Toby Samuel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stuart Parker than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stuart Parker, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toby Samuel than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toby Samuel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Stuart Parker - Toby Samuel Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Parker will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stuart Parker will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Parker is ranked ATP: 469. Samuel is ranked ATP: 1352.

Parker is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Samuel has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Samuel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Stuart Parker - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.97%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stuart Parker
ATP Challenger
29.05.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Stuart Parker	0:2 ✺
27.05.25	Stuart Parker - Ilya Snitari	2:0 ✺
26.05.25	Stuart Parker - Filip Pieczonka	2:0 ✺
25.05.25	Stuart Parker - Naoki Tajima	Tajima N. retired ✺
18.05.25	Stuart Parker - Semen Pankin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWW?L
- Toby Samuel
ATP Challenger
29.05.25	Toby Samuel - Radu Albot	2:0 ✺
27.05.25	Toby Samuel - Lilian Marmousez	2:0 ✺
20.05.25	Toby Samuel - Martin Damm	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.05.25	Keegan Smith - Toby Samuel	2:1 ✺
29.04.25	Andres Martin - Toby Samuel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLLL

Stuart Parker - Toby Samuel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide