Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Savannah (USA), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 April 2024, Thursday

Referee: Borghei A. (Irn)


	Omar Jasika		Alexander Ritschard

	1	2
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.3	1.28	Watch
	3.4	1.28	Watch
	3.79	1.28
	3.79	1.28
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.38	1.31	Watch
	3.2	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (2.16)	1.29 ↓ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Omar Jasika
27.2%

Alexander Ritschard
72.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Omar Jasika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Omar Jasika's form might have worsened.

Alexander Ritschard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexander Ritschard's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omar Jasika than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Omar Jasika, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Ritschard than the current prediction. (-14.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexander Ritschard, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	0%	78.6%

Omar Jasika - Alexander Ritschard Predictions

Users Predictions: Alexander Ritschard will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jasika is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ritschard is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Jasika could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ritschard will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Omar Jasika
ATP Challenger
23.04.24	Omar Jasika - Bernard Tomic	Tomic B. retired ✺
16.04.24	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Omar Jasika	2:1 ✺
09.04.24	Omar Jasika - Aidan Mayo	0:2 ✺
01.04.24	Bernard Tomic - Omar Jasika	2:0 ✺
25.03.24	Omar Jasika - Vasek Pospisil	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 ?LLLL
- Alexander Ritschard
ATP Challenger
23.04.24	Stefan Kozlov - Alexander Ritschard	0:2 ✺
19.04.24	Alexander Ritschard - Calvin Hemery	1:2 ✺
18.04.24	Alexander Ritschard - Bogdan Bobrov	2:1 ✺
16.04.24	Alexander Ritschard - Bruno Kuzuhara	2:0 ✺
11.04.24	Alexander Ritschard - Thanasi Kokkinakis	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWWL

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