Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Cairns 2 (Australia), hard - Final

Date: 12 October 2024, Saturday


	Omar Jasika		Marc Polmans

	1	2
	2.05	1.65
	2.05	1.66
	2.15	1.64
	2.07	1.68	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.08	1.69	Watch
	2.05	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.84)	1.66 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Omar Jasika
44.5%

Marc Polmans
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Omar Jasika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Omar Jasika's form might have worsened.

Marc Polmans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marc Polmans's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omar Jasika than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Omar Jasika, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marc Polmans than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marc Polmans, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Omar Jasika - Marc Polmans Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jasika is ranked ATP: 192. Polmans is ranked ATP: 255.

Jasika in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Polmans is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Jasika could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Jasika won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Omar Jasika
ITF Tournaments
11.10.24	Omar Jasika - Philip Sekulic	2:1 ✺
10.10.24	Omar Jasika - Jacob Bradshaw	2:0 ✺
09.10.24	Omar Jasika - Ajeet Rai	Rai A. retired ✺
22.09.24	Omar Jasika - James Watt	2:1 ✺
21.09.24	Omar Jasika - Jacob Bradshaw	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WW?WW
- Marc Polmans
ITF Tournaments
11.10.24	Blake Ellis - Marc Polmans	1:2 ✺
10.10.24	Moerani Bouzige - Marc Polmans	0:2 ✺
09.10.24	Corey Gaal - Marc Polmans	Gaal C. retired ✺
07.10.24	Hugh Winter - Marc Polmans	0:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
17.09.24	Terence Atmane - Marc Polmans	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WW?WL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
29.01.18	Marc Polmans - Omar Jasika	Canceled
04.11.16	Marc Polmans - Omar Jasika	2:1
ITF Tournaments
30.07.16	Marc Polmans - Omar Jasika	2:0

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