Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BIEL (SWITZERLAND), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 21 March 2023, Tuesday


	Omar Jasika		Maximilian Neuchrist

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.2	1.6
	2.25	1.62
	2.26	1.65
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.21	1.61	Watch
	2.2	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (1.86)	1.59 ↓ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Omar Jasika
41.2%

Maximilian Neuchrist
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Omar Jasika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Omar Jasika's form might have worsened.

Maximilian Neuchrist has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maximilian Neuchrist's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omar Jasika than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Omar Jasika, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maximilian Neuchrist than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maximilian Neuchrist, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Omar Jasika - Maximilian Neuchrist Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Jasika will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%). Neuchrist will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Neuchrist: 46.5% – 86.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Jasika is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Neuchrist is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Jasika could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Neuchrist will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Neuchrist to win the game is with odds 1.56.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Omar Jasika
ITF Tournaments
03.03.23	Omar Jasika - Thomas John Fancutt	1:2 ✺
02.03.23	Omar Jasika - Edward Winter	2:1 ✺
01.03.23	Omar Jasika - Ken Cavrak	2:0 ✺
27.02.23	Omar Jasika - Timothy Gray	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.01.23	Omar Jasika - James McCabe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWWWL
- Maximilian Neuchrist
ITF Tournaments
18.03.23	Maximilian Neuchrist - Beibit Zhukayev	0:2 ✺
17.03.23	Maximilian Neuchrist - Karl Friberg	2:0 ✺
16.03.23	Maximilian Neuchrist - Nico Hornitschek	2:0 ✺
14.03.23	Maximilian Neuchrist - Dominik Boehler	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.03.23	Maximilian Neuchrist - Harold Mayot	Neuchrist M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWW?

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