Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Florianopolis (Brazil), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 April 2024, Friday

Referee: Parada L. (Bra)


	Orlando Luz		Camilo Ugo Carabelli

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.95	1.35	Watch
	3.1	1.32	Watch
	3.25	1.37
	3.25	1.38
	3	1.36
	2.79	1.4	Watch
	3	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.55)	1.37 ↓ (1.46)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orlando Luz
31%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
69%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

63.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

63.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orlando Luz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Orlando Luz's form might have worsened.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Camilo Ugo Carabelli's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando Luz than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Orlando Luz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Camilo Ugo Carabelli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Orlando Luz - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Now both players are in good shape.

Ugo Carabelli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ugo Carabelli is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Ugo Carabelli to win the game is with odds 1.35.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Luz won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orlando Luz
ATP Challenger
03.04.24	Thiago Monteiro - Orlando Luz	0:2 ✺
02.04.24	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Orlando Luz	0:2 ✺
29.03.24	Daniel Vallejo - Orlando Luz	2:0 ✺
28.03.24	Pedro Sakamoto - Orlando Luz	1:2 ✺
26.03.24	Orlando Luz - Thiago Monteiro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWLWW
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Challenger
03.04.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	2:0 ✺
02.04.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Nicolas Zanellato	2:1 ✺
01.04.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	2:0 ✺
31.03.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Luis Britto	Britto L. retired ✺
29.03.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Enzo Couacaud	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWW?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
25.01.22	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Orlando Luz	2:0
27.01.20	Orlando Luz - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0

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