Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday


	Orlando Luz		Lilian Marmousez

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	4.1	1.22
	3.43	1.26	Watch
			Watch
	3.47	1.28	Watch
	1.84	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (1.84)	1.4 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orlando Luz
30.4%

Lilian Marmousez
69.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orlando Luz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Orlando Luz's form might have worsened.

Lilian Marmousez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lilian Marmousez's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Orlando Luz - Lilian Marmousez Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Marmousez (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 20.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Marmousez (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Luz is ranked ATP: 658. Marmousez is ranked ATP: 357.

Marmousez has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Marmousez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Marmousez is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Lilian Marmousez - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.86%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orlando Luz
ATP Challenger
14.09.25	Orlando Luz - Tadeas Paroulek	Luz O. retired ✺
07.09.25	Niklas Schell - Orlando Luz	2:1 ✺
08.07.25	David Jorda Sanchis - Orlando Luz	2:0 ✺
06.07.25	Orlando Luz - Maximilian Neuchrist	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Orlando Luz - Gabriele Pennaforti	Pennaforti G. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 ?LLW?
- Lilian Marmousez
ITF Tournaments
03.09.25	Niklas Schell - Lilian Marmousez	Marmousez L. retired ✺
31.08.25	Florian Broska - Lilian Marmousez	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Eric Vanshelboim - Lilian Marmousez	1:2 ✺
29.08.25	Alec Deckers - Lilian Marmousez	0:2 ✺
28.08.25	Elgin Khoeblal - Lilian Marmousez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 ?LWWW

Orlando Luz - Lilian Marmousez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide