Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Skopje (North Macedonia), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 May 2024, Monday

Referee: Svjetlanovic S. (Bih)


	Orlando Luz		Maks Kasnikowski

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.1	1.65
	2.1	1.68	Watch
	2.17	1.71
	2.17	1.72
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.07	1.7	Watch
	2.14	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.5)	1.67 ↑ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orlando Luz
43.7%

Maks Kasnikowski
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

62.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orlando Luz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orlando Luz's performance.

Maks Kasnikowski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maks Kasnikowski might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando Luz than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orlando Luz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maks Kasnikowski than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maks Kasnikowski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Orlando Luz - Maks Kasnikowski Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are in a poor body shape now.

Kasnikowski could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kasnikowski will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orlando Luz
ATP Challenger
13.05.24	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Orlando Luz	2:0 ✺
06.05.24	Orlando Luz - Mats Rosenkranz	0:2 ✺
05.05.24	Orlando Luz - Peter Heller	2:1 ✺
29.04.24	Gabriel Diallo - Orlando Luz	2:0 ✺
22.04.24	Orlando Luz - Norbert Gombos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLWLL
- Maks Kasnikowski
ATP Challenger
08.05.24	Maks Kasnikowski - Nick Hardt	1:2 ✺
06.05.24	Oliver Crawford - Maks Kasnikowski	0:2 ✺
23.04.24	Maks Kasnikowski - Jakub Nicod	1:2 ✺
16.04.24	Gastao Elias - Maks Kasnikowski	Kasnikowski M. retired ✺
15.04.24	Maks Kasnikowski - Gauthier Onclin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWL?L

Orlando Luz - Maks Kasnikowski: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide