Match Info

Date: 28 April 2021, Wednesday


	Orlando Luz		Nicolas Jarry

	1	2
	5	1.16	Watch
	4.5	1.17
	4.3	1.2	Watch
	4.3	1.16
	4.33	1.2	Watch
	5.65	1.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.68 ↑ (3.25)	1.17 ↓ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orlando Luz
20%

Nicolas Jarry
80%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

71%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

71.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orlando Luz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Orlando Luz's form might have worsened.

Nicolas Jarry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nicolas Jarry's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando Luz than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Orlando Luz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nicolas Jarry, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.3%	0%	89.7%

Orlando Luz - Nicolas Jarry Predictions

Users Predictions: Nicolas Jarry will win (35 of 39 users predict this - 89.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.22% – 99.26%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Luz is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Jarry is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Jarry could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Jarry is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Jarry to win the game is with odds 1.31.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orlando Luz
ATP Challenger
19.04.21	Orlando Luz - Alex Rybakov	0:2 ✺
18.04.21	Orlando Luz - Bruno Kuzuhara	2:0 ✺
16.03.21	Orlando Luz - Kimmer Coppejans	0:2 ✺
ATP Santiago
06.03.21	Sebastian Baez - Orlando Luz	2:1 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
27.02.21	Orlando Luz - Daniel Altmaier	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL
- Nicolas Jarry
ATP Challenger
26.04.21	Nicolas Mejia - Nicolas Jarry	0:2 ✺
26.04.21	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Nicolas Jarry	0:2 ✺
23.04.21	Nicolas Jarry - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
21.04.21	Shuichi Sekiguchi - Nicolas Jarry	0:2 ✺
19.04.21	Nicolas Alvarez - Nicolas Jarry	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWWW

Orlando Luz - Nicolas Jarry: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide