Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 27 August 2026, Thursday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Otto Virtanen		Grigor Dimitrov

	1	2
	3.25	1.33
	3.30	1.30
	3.28	1.32
	3.2	1.39
	3.36	1.32	Watch
	3.1	1.32
	3.25	1.32	Watch
	3.2	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.78)	1.33 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Otto Virtanen
29%

Grigor Dimitrov
71%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

64.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Otto Virtanen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Grigor Dimitrov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Otto Virtanen than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Otto Virtanen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grigor Dimitrov than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grigor Dimitrov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Otto Virtanen - Grigor Dimitrov Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dimitrov (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Dimitrov (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Grigor Dimitrov will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dimitrov (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Virtanen is ranked ATP: 108. Dimitrov is ranked ATP: 137.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Dimitrov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Dimitrov is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Otto Virtanen
ATP US Open
26.08.26	Otto Virtanen - Jack Pinnington Jones	2:1 ✺
24.08.26	Otto Virtanen - Ugo Blanchet	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.08.26	Otto Virtanen - Moez Echargui	0:2 ✺
18.08.26	Otto Virtanen - Yibing Wu	Canceled ✺
ATP Cincinnati
12.08.26	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Otto Virtanen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWL?L
- Grigor Dimitrov
ATP US Open
26.08.26	Timofey Skatov - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2 ✺
25.08.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.26	Sebastian Baez - Grigor Dimitrov	2:1 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
28.07.26	Moise Kouame - Grigor Dimitrov	Canceled ✺
ATP Bastad
15.07.26	Nuno Borges - Grigor Dimitrov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WWL?L

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