Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 14 August 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1


	Sebastian Baez		Grigor Dimitrov

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.62
	2.25	1.65	Watch
	2.32	1.68
	2.31	1.61	Watch
	2.25	1.67
	2.32	1.63	Watch
	2.25	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.38)	1.64 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Baez
41.8%

Grigor Dimitrov
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

62.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Grigor Dimitrov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grigor Dimitrov than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Sebastian Baez - Grigor Dimitrov Predictions

Users Predictions: Grigor Dimitrov will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Baez is ranked ATP: 48. Dimitrov is ranked ATP: 137.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Baez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Baez
ATP Montreal
05.08.26	Zizou Bergs - Sebastian Baez	2:1 ✺
04.08.26	Sebastian Baez - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
23.07.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
22.07.26	Sebastian Baez - Arthur Rinderknech	2:1 ✺
21.07.26	Sebastian Baez - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWLWW
- Grigor Dimitrov
ATP Los Cabos
28.07.26	Moise Kouame - Grigor Dimitrov	Canceled ✺
ATP Bastad
15.07.26	Nuno Borges - Grigor Dimitrov	2:0 ✺
14.07.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Grigor Dimitrov	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
06.07.26	Grigor Dimitrov - Arthur Fery	2:3 ✺
04.07.26	Grigor Dimitrov - Matteo Berrettini	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 ?LWLW

Sebastian Baez - Grigor Dimitrov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide