Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Bastad (Sweden) - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 15 July 2024, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Bastad (Sweden) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Referee: Nilhag M. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bulgaria	12:00	Max Sport 2
Croatia	11:00	SportKlub 2, SportKlub 5, SportKlub 6, SportKlub 7, SportKlub 8
Finland	12:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 2
Germany	11:00	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	10:00	Sport TV3
Slovenia	11:00	SportKlub 2, SportKlub 4


	Otto Virtanen		Jaime Faria

	1	2
			Watch
	2	1.75
	1.97	1.74	Watch
	2.06	1.79
	2.07	1.76	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.97	1.78	Watch
	2	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.27)	1.76 ↑ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Otto Virtanen
46.7%

Jaime Faria
53.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.3%

59.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Otto Virtanen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Otto Virtanen's performance.

Jaime Faria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jaime Faria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Otto Virtanen than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaime Faria than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Otto Virtanen - Jaime Faria Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Virtanen will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Faria will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Virtanen: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Virtanen is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Faria is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Virtanen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Otto Virtanen
ATP Bastad
14.07.24	Otto Virtanen - William Rejchtman Vinciguerra	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.24	Tommy Paul - Otto Virtanen	3:2 ✺
01.07.24	Otto Virtanen - Max Purcell	3:0 ✺
27.06.24	Otto Virtanen - Roman Andres Burruchaga	3:1 ✺
26.06.24	Alexander Ritschard - Otto Virtanen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWWW
- Jaime Faria
ATP Bastad
14.07.24	Andrey Kuznetsov - Jaime Faria	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.07.24	Jaime Faria - Dusan Obradovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.24	Jaime Faria - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.06.24	Beibit Zhukayev - Jaime Faria	2:1 ✺
11.06.24	Luka Mikrut - Jaime Faria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 WLLLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Otto Virtanen
ATP Challenger
30.10.26	Stefano Travaglia - Otto Virtanen	✺

Otto Virtanen - Jaime Faria