Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ILKLEY (UNITED KINGDOM), GRASS - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 19 June 2023, Monday


	Otto Virtanen		Norbert Gombos

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.55	2.3
	1.53	2.45
	1.54	2.55
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.49	2.49	Watch
	1.44	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.62)	2.45 ↑ (2.18)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Otto Virtanen
61.8%

Norbert Gombos
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Otto Virtanen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Norbert Gombos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Otto Virtanen than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Otto Virtanen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norbert Gombos than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Norbert Gombos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Otto Virtanen - Norbert Gombos Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Virtanen will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Gombos will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gombos: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Virtanen is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Gombos is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gombos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Virtanen will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Otto Virtanen
ATP Challenger
13.06.23	Otto Virtanen - George Loffhagen	0:2 ✺
06.06.23	Otto Virtanen - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
24.05.23	Otto Virtanen - Timofey Skatov	1:2 ✺
23.05.23	Otto Virtanen - Antoine Escoffier	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.05.23	Otto Virtanen - Stefano Napolitano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLWL
- Norbert Gombos
ATP Challenger
14.06.23	Jerome Kym - Norbert Gombos	2:1 ✺
13.06.23	Dalibor Svrcina - Norbert Gombos	1:2 ✺
06.06.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Norbert Gombos	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
24.05.23	Jesper De Jong - Norbert Gombos	2:0 ✺
22.05.23	Antoine Ghibaudo - Norbert Gombos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLLW

Otto Virtanen - Norbert Gombos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide