Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lexington, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 August 2026, Tuesday


	Ozan Baris		Liam Broady

	1	2
			Watch
	2.10	1.65
	2.23	1.63
	2.17	1.70
	2.3	1.55	Watch
	2.11	1.60	Watch
	2.20	1.60	Watch
	2.16	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.26)	1.62 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ozan Baris
42.6%

Liam Broady
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

65.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ozan Baris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Liam Broady has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ozan Baris than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ozan Baris that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liam Broady than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Liam Broady could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Ozan Baris - Liam Broady Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Baris will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Broady will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Baris is ranked ATP: 486. Broady is ranked ATP: 202.

Baris is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Broady is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Broady may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Broady will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Liam Broady - the odds 1.54 are the expected chance of winning is 59.47%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ozan Baris
ITF Tournaments
02.08.26	Ozan Baris - Vignesh Gogineni	0:2 ✺
01.08.26	Johannus Monday - Ozan Baris	1:2 ✺
31.07.26	Maxwell Exsted - Ozan Baris	0:2 ✺
30.07.26	Oliver Bonding - Ozan Baris	1:2 ✺
29.07.26	Nikita Filin - Ozan Baris	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWWW
- Liam Broady
ATP Challenger
29.07.26	Liam Broady - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	1:2 ✺
21.07.26	Yuta Shimizu - Liam Broady	2:0 ✺
13.07.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Liam Broady	2:1 ✺
10.07.26	Liam Broady - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
09.07.26	Liam Broady - Andre Ilagan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW

Ozan Baris - Liam Broady: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide