The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pablo Cuevas 40.2%
Lorenzo Musetti 59.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.4%
49.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52%
48%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pablo Cuevas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pablo Cuevas's form might have worsened.
Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lorenzo Musetti's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pablo Cuevas than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pablo Cuevas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (-11.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lorenzo Musetti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
0%
60%
Pablo Cuevas - Lorenzo Musetti Predictions
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Cuevas will win (votes: 10 - 40%). Musetti will win (votes: 15 - 60%). Confidence interval (95%) for Musetti: 40.8% – 79.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Recent matches Cuevas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Musetti is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Cuevas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Musetti will have a small advantage in this match.
Our prediction for today's Musetti to win the game is with odds 1.58.
Watch
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