Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SEVILLE (SPAIN), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 7 September 2023, Thursday


	Pablo Llamas Ruiz		Calvin Hemery

	1	2
			Watch
	1.55	2.4
	1.63	2.39
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.55	2.38	Watch
	1.55	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.44)	2.39 ↓ (2.69)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pablo Llamas Ruiz
60.5%

Calvin Hemery
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.1%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pablo Llamas Ruiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Calvin Hemery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pablo Llamas Ruiz than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pablo Llamas Ruiz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calvin Hemery than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Calvin Hemery, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Calvin Hemery Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Llamas Ruiz will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Hemery will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hemery: 40% – 93.4%.

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Preview

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Hemery could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Llamas Ruiz will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pablo Llamas Ruiz
ATP Challenger
06.09.23	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	2:1 ✺
05.09.23	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Federico Delbonis	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.23	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Dominic Stephan Stricker	1:2 ✺
22.08.23	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Andrea Collarini	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.07.23	Antoine Escoffier - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWW
- Calvin Hemery
ATP Challenger
06.09.23	Calvin Hemery - Pedro Cachin	2:1 ✺
04.09.23	Adrian Andreev - Calvin Hemery	1:2 ✺
30.08.23	Benoit Paire - Calvin Hemery	2:0 ✺
29.08.23	Manuel Guinard - Calvin Hemery	1:2 ✺
28.08.23	Luca Castagnola - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWLWW

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