Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: OEIRAS 3 (PORTUGAL), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 19 April 2023, Wednesday


	Pablo Llamas Ruiz		Juan Manuel Cerundolo

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.87	1.83
	1.88	1.88
	1.86	1.98
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.91	1.82	Watch
	1.86	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.39)	1.85 ↑ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pablo Llamas Ruiz
49.7%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

61.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pablo Llamas Ruiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pablo Llamas Ruiz's performance.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Manuel Cerundolo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Llamas Ruiz than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pablo Llamas Ruiz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Manuel Cerundolo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Juan Manuel Cerundolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Llamas Ruiz will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Cerundolo will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Llamas Ruiz: 62.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Llamas Ruiz is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Cerundolo is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Llamas Ruiz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pablo Llamas Ruiz
ATP Challenger
18.04.23	Manuel Guinard - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Guinard M. retired ✺
17.04.23	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Kenny De Schepper	2:0 ✺
16.04.23	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Carlos Sanchez Jover	2:0 ✺
08.04.23	Borna Gojo - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:1 ✺
07.04.23	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 ?WWLW
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Challenger
18.04.23	Duarte Vale - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
11.04.23	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Bjorn Fratangelo	0:2 ✺
ATP Houston
04.04.23	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.03.23	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
ATP Santiago
02.03.23	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Dusan Lajovic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 WLLLL

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