Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SEGOVIA (SPAIN), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 26 July 2023, Wednesday


	Pablo Llamas Ruiz		Mark Lajal

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.85	1.85
	1.97	1.8
	1.94	1.89
	1.73	2
	2.01	1.74	Watch
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.67)	1.86 ↓ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pablo Llamas Ruiz
49.8%

Mark Lajal
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pablo Llamas Ruiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pablo Llamas Ruiz's form might have worsened.

Mark Lajal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mark Lajal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pablo Llamas Ruiz than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pablo Llamas Ruiz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mark Lajal than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mark Lajal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Mark Lajal Predictions

Users Predictions: Mark Lajal will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Lajal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pablo Llamas Ruiz
ATP Challenger
25.07.23	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
20.07.23	Alejandro Moro Canas - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:1 ✺
18.07.23	Fernando Verdasco - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
28.06.23	Zsombor Piros - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:0 ✺
26.06.23	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Maximilian Neuchrist	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWLW
- Mark Lajal
ATP Challenger
24.07.23	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Mark Lajal	0:2 ✺
20.07.23	Mark Lajal - Justin Boulais	1:2 ✺
18.07.23	Juncheng Shang - Mark Lajal	0:2 ✺
14.07.23	Mark Lajal - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	1:2 ✺
13.07.23	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Mark Lajal	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWLW

Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Mark Lajal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide