The best margin for this event is 16.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Paige Mary Hourigan 46.4%
Katarina Jokic 53.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.6%
42.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.9%
38.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paige Mary Hourigan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paige Mary Hourigan's form might have worsened.
Katarina Jokic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Katarina Jokic's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paige Mary Hourigan than the current prediction. (+15.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paige Mary Hourigan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katarina Jokic than the current prediction. (-15.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Katarina Jokic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
Paige Mary Hourigan - Katarina Jokic Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Hourigan will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Jokic will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for Hourigan: 21.7% – 78.3%.