Match Info

Date: 2 February 2021, Tuesday


	Paolo Lorenzi		Akira Santillan

	1	2
	2	1.72	Watch
	1.95	1.75
	2.05	1.74	Watch
	2	1.7
	2.09	1.76
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.12	1.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.37)	1.73 ↑ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paolo Lorenzi
46%

Akira Santillan
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

58.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paolo Lorenzi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paolo Lorenzi's performance.

Akira Santillan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Akira Santillan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paolo Lorenzi than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akira Santillan than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.6%	0%	17.4%

Paolo Lorenzi - Akira Santillan Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Lorenzi will win (votes: 19 - 82.6%). Santillan will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lorenzi: 67.1% – 98.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players has got a chain of failures in the last matches.

Lorenzi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paolo Lorenzi
ATP Challenger
29.01.21	Duje Ajdukovic - Paolo Lorenzi	2:1 ✺
28.01.21	Paolo Lorenzi - Daniel Altmaier	2:0 ✺
18.01.21	Ergi Kirkin - Paolo Lorenzi	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
11.01.21	John-Patrick Smith - Paolo Lorenzi	1:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.12.20	Paolo Lorenzi - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLLL
- Akira Santillan
ATP Challenger
01.02.21	Gian Marco Moroni - Akira Santillan	1:2 ✺
31.01.21	Akira Santillan - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0 ✺
30.01.21	Lorenzo Musetti - Akira Santillan	2:1 ✺
29.01.21	Emilio Gomez - Akira Santillan	0:2 ✺
29.01.21	Akira Santillan - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WWLWW

Paolo Lorenzi - Akira Santillan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide