Match Info

Date: 11 February 2020, Tuesday


	Paolo Lorenzi		Danilo Petrovic

	1	2
	1.8	1.9
	1.87	1.91
	1.83	1.98
	1.78	1.93
	1.85	2.04
	1.91	1.91
	1.86	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.25)	1.95 ↑ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paolo Lorenzi
51.5%

Danilo Petrovic
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paolo Lorenzi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paolo Lorenzi's performance.

Danilo Petrovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Danilo Petrovic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paolo Lorenzi than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paolo Lorenzi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Danilo Petrovic than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Danilo Petrovic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.6%	0%	16.4%

Paolo Lorenzi - Danilo Petrovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 55 users predict this event. Lorenzi will win (votes: 46 - 83.6%). Petrovic will win (votes: 9 - 16.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lorenzi: 73.8% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paolo Lorenzi
ATP New York
10.02.20	Paolo Lorenzi - Noah Rubin	2:0 ✺
09.02.20	Paolo Lorenzi - Guillermo Garcia-Lopez	2:0 ✺
ATP Pune
04.02.20	Paolo Lorenzi - Egor Gerasimov	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.01.20	Paolo Lorenzi - Mukund Sasikumar	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
15.01.20	Paolo Lorenzi - Lukas Rosol	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLLL
- Danilo Petrovic
ATP New York
10.02.20	Bradley Klahn - Danilo Petrovic	0:2 ✺
09.02.20	Peter Polansky - Danilo Petrovic	Polansky P. retired ✺
ATP Montpellier
03.02.20	Sergiy Stakhovsky - Danilo Petrovic	2:0 ✺
02.02.20	Hiroki Moriya - Danilo Petrovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.01.20	Cem Ilkel - Danilo Petrovic	Petrovic D. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 W?LW?

Paolo Lorenzi - Danilo Petrovic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide