Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Lourinha, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 June 2026, Thursday


	Patrick Schoen		Thijs Boogaard

	1	2
			Watch
	1.87	1.80
	1.81	1.89
	1.92	1.90
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.87	1.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.81)	1.85 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patrick Schoen
49.8%

Thijs Boogaard
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patrick Schoen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Thijs Boogaard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patrick Schoen than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Patrick Schoen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thijs Boogaard than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Thijs Boogaard could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Patrick Schoen - Thijs Boogaard Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Schoen is ranked ATP: 548. Boogaard is ranked ATP: 639.

Schoen has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Boogaard has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Schoen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Schoen will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patrick Schoen
ITF Tournaments
17.06.26	Patrick Schoen - Vasco Leote Prata	2:0 ✺
31.05.26	Pablo Perez Ramos - Patrick Schoen	0:2 ✺
29.05.26	Cagan Efe Tufekci - Patrick Schoen	0:2 ✺
27.05.26	Matas Vasiliauskas - Patrick Schoen	0:2 ✺
25.05.26	Patrick Schoen - Romain Faucon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWWW
- Thijs Boogaard
ITF Tournaments
17.06.26	Goncalo Marques - Thijs Boogaard	0:2 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
12.06.26	Daniil Medvedev - Thijs Boogaard	2:1 ✺
10.06.26	Thijs Boogaard - Yibing Wu	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.05.26	Thijs Boogaard - Aaron Funk	1:2 ✺
14.05.26	Thijs Boogaard - Ali Habib	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWLW

Patrick Schoen - Thijs Boogaard: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide