Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cherbourg (France), hard (indoor) - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 March 2025, Friday


	Patrick Zahraj		Arthur Fery

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.85	1.36	Watch
	2.85	1.35	Watch
	2.9	1.45
	2.68	1.46	Watch
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.81	1.4	Watch
	2.85	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.07)	1.39 ↓ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patrick Zahraj
32.9%

Arthur Fery
67.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patrick Zahraj has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Patrick Zahraj's form might have worsened.

Arthur Fery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arthur Fery's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patrick Zahraj than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Patrick Zahraj, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Fery than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arthur Fery, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.4%	0%	31.6%

Patrick Zahraj - Arthur Fery Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Zahraj will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Fery will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zahraj: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zahraj is ranked ATP: 319. Fery is ranked ATP: 441.

Recent matches Zahraj is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fery is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Fery could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Fery will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Fery to win the game is with odds 1.43.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Zahraj won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patrick Zahraj
ATP Challenger
12.03.25	Mae Malige - Patrick Zahraj	1:2 ✺
11.03.25	Patrick Zahraj - Alexey Vatutin	2:0 ✺
10.03.25	Patrick Zahraj - Tom Gentzsch	0:2 ✺
09.03.25	Patrick Zahraj - Maxence Beauge	2:0 ✺
26.02.25	Patrick Zahraj - Jan Choinski	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWL
- Arthur Fery
ATP Challenger
13.03.25	Arthur Fery - Cyril Vandermeersch	2:0 ✺
11.03.25	Egor Gerasimov - Arthur Fery	1:2 ✺
10.03.25	David Jorda Sanchis - Arthur Fery	0:2 ✺
09.03.25	Arthur Reymond - Arthur Fery	0:2 ✺
21.02.25	Arthur Fery - Patrick Zahraj	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
21.02.25	Arthur Fery - Patrick Zahraj	1:2

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