Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mouilleron-Le-Captif - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday


	Patrick Zahraj		Karl Poling

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.30
	1.55	2.29
	1.52	2.36	Watch
	1.53	2.35
	1.56	2.27	Watch
	1.55	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.57)	2.31 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patrick Zahraj
60%

Karl Poling
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patrick Zahraj has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Karl Poling has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patrick Zahraj than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karl Poling than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Patrick Zahraj - Karl Poling Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Zahraj will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zahraj is ranked ATP: 514., and Poling is ranked ATP: 460..

Zahraj has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Poling is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Zahraj could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Zahraj holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Zahraj has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:0 (averaging 2:0 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Patrick Zahraj - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 58.72%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Karl Poling - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.28%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patrick Zahraj
ATP Challenger
21.09.26	Murphy Cassone - Patrick Zahraj	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Patrick Zahraj - Mathys Erhard	2:1 ✺
14.09.26	Patrick Zahraj - Maxime Janvier	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Patrick Zahraj - Joshua Sheehy	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.09.26	Samir Banerjee - Patrick Zahraj	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLWL
- Karl Poling
ATP Challenger
22.09.26	Titouan Droguet - Karl Poling	2:1 ✺
21.09.26	Moez Echargui - Karl Poling	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Karl Poling	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Karl Poling - Nikola Slavic	1:2 ✺
25.08.26	Karl Poling - Thomas John Fancutt	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
22.03.26	Patrick Zahraj - Karl Poling	2:0
11.11.24	Patrick Zahraj - Karl Poling	2:0

Patrick Zahraj - Karl Poling: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide