Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: St. Tropez - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday


	Yanis Ghazouani Durand		Karl Poling

	1	2
			Watch
	1.48	2.40
	1.55	2.28
	1.52	2.36	Watch
	1.57	2.35
	1.56	2.27	Watch
	1.50	2.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 (1.53)	2.34 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yanis Ghazouani Durand
60.5%

Karl Poling
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yanis Ghazouani Durand has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Karl Poling has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yanis Ghazouani Durand than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karl Poling than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Karl Poling Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Ghazouani Durand will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ghazouani Durand is ranked ATP: 547., and Poling is ranked ATP: 457..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Poling could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yanis Ghazouani Durand
ATP Challenger
17.09.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	2:1 ✺
15.09.26	Leo Raquillet - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	0:2 ✺
14.09.26	Nikola Slavic - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Gijs Brouwer - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	1:2 ✺
10.09.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWWL
- Karl Poling
ATP Challenger
13.09.26	Karl Poling - Nikola Slavic	1:2 ✺
25.08.26	Karl Poling - Thomas John Fancutt	0:2 ✺
17.08.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Karl Poling	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.08.26	Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes - Karl Poling	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Nikita Filin - Karl Poling	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLLWW

Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Karl Poling: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide