Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Monza, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 April 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Monza 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Paul Jubb		Jacopo Vasami

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	1.95	1.75	Watch
	2.05	1.65	Watch
	2.23	1.63	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.09	1.69	Watch
	2.05	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.67)	1.68 ↓ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paul Jubb
44.9%

Jacopo Vasami
55.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.6%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paul Jubb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paul Jubb's form might have worsened.

Jacopo Vasami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jacopo Vasami's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paul Jubb than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paul Jubb, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacopo Vasami than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jacopo Vasami, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Paul Jubb - Jacopo Vasami Predictions

Users Predictions: Jacopo Vasami will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jacopo Vasami will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jubb is ranked ATP: 216. Vasami is ranked ATP: 1393.

Jubb has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Vasami is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vasami could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paul Jubb
ATP Challenger
01.04.25	Michael Geerts - Paul Jubb	2:0 ✺
23.03.25	Paul Jubb - Franco Agamenone	0:2 ✺
11.03.25	Adrien Gobat - Paul Jubb	2:0 ✺
11.03.25	Maxime Cressy - Paul Jubb	N/A ✺
05.03.25	Borna Coric - Paul Jubb	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.9 LLL?L
- Jacopo Vasami
ATP Challenger
02.04.25	Vitaliy Sachko - Jacopo Vasami	2:1 ✺
31.03.25	Alessandro Pecci - Jacopo Vasami	0:2 ✺
30.03.25	Jacopo Vasami - Gianluca Mager	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.03.25	Giuseppe La Vela - Jacopo Vasami	2:0 ✺
26.03.25	Jacopo Vasami - Daniele Minighini	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWWLW

Paul Jubb - Jacopo Vasami

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Paul Jubb - Jacopo Vasami Predictions

Preview

Form

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