Match Info

Date: 3 May 2021, Monday


	Paula Badosa		Anastasija Sevastova

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.75	2.05
	1.79	2.02	Watch
	1.73	2.04
	1.74	2.23
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.76	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.06)	2.09 ↑ (1.77)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paula Badosa
54.3%

Anastasija Sevastova
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paula Badosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paula Badosa's performance.

Anastasija Sevastova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Anastasija Sevastova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paula Badosa than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paula Badosa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anastasija Sevastova than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Anastasija Sevastova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.7%	0%	25.3%

Paula Badosa - Anastasija Sevastova Predictions

Users Predictions: 99 users predict this event. Badosa will win (votes: 74 - 74.7%). Sevastova will win (votes: 25 - 25.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Badosa: 66.1% – 83.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Badosa is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sevastova is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Sevastova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Badosa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paula Badosa
WTA Madrid
01.05.21	Jil Belen Teichmann - Paula Badosa	1:2 ✺
29.04.21	Paula Badosa - Barbora Krejcikova	2:0 ✺
WTA Charleston
10.04.21	Paula Badosa - Veronika Kudermetova	0:2 ✺
09.04.21	Ashleigh Barty - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
08.04.21	Caty McNally - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWLWW
- Anastasija Sevastova
WTA Madrid
01.05.21	Anastasija Sevastova - Johanna Konta	2:0 ✺
29.04.21	Ana Bogdan - Anastasija Sevastova	0:2 ✺
28.04.21	Anastasija Sevastova - Marta Kostyuk	2:0 ✺
27.04.21	Anastasija Sevastova - Tsvetana Pironkova	2:1 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
17.04.21	Anastasija Sevastova - Ankita Raina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Abu Dhabi
06.01.21	Anastasija Sevastova - Paula Badosa	1:2

Paula Badosa - Anastasija Sevastova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide