Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 25 April 2025, Friday


	Paula Badosa		Veronika Kudermetova

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.7	2.1
	1.91	1.9
	1.93	1.93
	1.88	1.91
	1.67	2.2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.91	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.54)	1.97 ↓ (2.49)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paula Badosa
51.5%

Veronika Kudermetova
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paula Badosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paula Badosa's form might have worsened.

Veronika Kudermetova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Veronika Kudermetova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paula Badosa than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paula Badosa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Veronika Kudermetova than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Veronika Kudermetova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Paula Badosa - Veronika Kudermetova Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Badosa will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Kudermetova will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Badosa: 31.2% – 83%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kudermetova (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 Games - Kudermetova (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Kudermetova (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Kudermetova (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Badosa is ranked WTA: 9. Kudermetova is ranked WTA: 52.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Badosa won 3.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Kudermetova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Badosa will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Badosa won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:6 (average 0.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paula Badosa
WTA Miami
24.03.25	Alexandra Eala - Paula Badosa	Eala A. walkover ✺
23.03.25	Clara Tauson - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
21.03.25	Victoria Mboko - Paula Badosa	1:2 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
07.03.25	Caroline Dolehide - Paula Badosa	Canceled ✺
WTA Merida
28.02.25	Daria Saville - Paula Badosa	Badosa P. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 ?WW??
- Veronika Kudermetova
WTA Madrid
23.04.25	Veronika Kudermetova - Polina Kudermetova	2:0 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
14.04.25	Veronika Kudermetova - Diana Shnaider	1:2 ✺
13.04.25	Veronika Kudermetova - Sara Errani	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Veronika Kudermetova - Kathinka Von Deichmann	2:0 ✺
WTA Charleston
01.04.25	Amanda Anisimova - Veronika Kudermetova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Roland Garros
28.05.22	Paula Badosa - Veronika Kudermetova	Badosa P. retired
WTA Madrid
28.04.22	Veronika Kudermetova - Paula Badosa	0:2
WTA Indian Wells
17.03.22	Paula Badosa - Veronika Kudermetova	2:0
WTA Charleston
10.04.21	Paula Badosa - Veronika Kudermetova	0:2
WTA Abu Dhabi
10.01.21	Paula Badosa - Veronika Kudermetova	1:2
WTA Indian Wells
04.03.19	Paula Badosa - Veronika Kudermetova	0:2

Paula Badosa - Veronika Kudermetova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide