Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Washington (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 July 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Washington (USA) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	11:35	beIN Sports 2
Denmark	03:35	TV2, TV2 Play, TV2 Sport, TV2 Sport X
France	03:35	beIN Sports France 1
Slovenia	03:35	SportKlub 1
United Kingdom	02:35	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis


	Paula Badosa		Sofia Kenin

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.3	3.4
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.31	3.66
	1.35	3.34	Watch
	1.33	3.3
	1.34	3.33	Watch
	1.31	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.65)	3.43 ↑ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paula Badosa
72.2%

Sofia Kenin
27.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paula Badosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paula Badosa's performance.

Sofia Kenin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sofia Kenin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paula Badosa than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paula Badosa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sofia Kenin than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sofia Kenin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Paula Badosa - Sofia Kenin Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Badosa will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Kenin will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Badosa: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Badosa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kenin is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Badosa is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paula Badosa
WTA Wimbledon
07.07.24	Paula Badosa - Donna Vekic	1:2 ✺
05.07.24	Darya Kasatkina - Paula Badosa	1:2 ✺
04.07.24	Paula Badosa - Brenda Fruhvirtova	2:0 ✺
01.07.24	Paula Badosa - Karolina Muchova	2:0 ✺
WTA Bad Homburg
27.06.24	Paula Badosa - Diana Shnaider	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWWL
- Sofia Kenin
WTA Wimbledon
02.07.24	Iga Swiatek - Sofia Kenin	2:0 ✺
WTA Eastbourne
26.06.24	Sofia Kenin - Harriet Dart	1:2 ✺
23.06.24	Sofia Kenin - Viktorija Golubic	0:2 ✺
22.06.24	Sofia Kenin - Daria Saville	2:0 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
31.05.24	Clara Tauson - Sofia Kenin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paula Badosa
WTA Guangzhou
29.10.26	Paula Badosa - Harriet Dart	✺

Paula Badosa - Sofia Kenin