The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Darya Kasatkina 24.8%
Paula Badosa 75.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.7%
60.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.7%
58.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Darya Kasatkina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Darya Kasatkina's form might have worsened.
Paula Badosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paula Badosa's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (+16.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Darya Kasatkina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paula Badosa than the current prediction. (-16.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paula Badosa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
45.5%
0%
54.5%
Darya Kasatkina - Paula Badosa Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Kasatkina will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Badosa will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Badosa: 25.1% – 83.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Kasatkina is ranked WTA: 61.Badosa is ranked WTA: 93.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kasatkina won 1.
Both players have been playing unpredictably.
In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Kasatkina won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 0.9:0.8).
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