Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 21 March 2025, Friday


	Victoria Mboko		Paula Badosa

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	3.4	1.3
	2.7	1.47	Watch
	2.84	1.42	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	2.77	1.45	Watch
	2.7	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↓ (3.46)	1.43 ↑ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Victoria Mboko
33.4%

Paula Badosa
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

72.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

74.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Victoria Mboko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Victoria Mboko's performance.

Paula Badosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paula Badosa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victoria Mboko than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Victoria Mboko that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paula Badosa than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paula Badosa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	0%	81.8%

Victoria Mboko - Paula Badosa Predictions

Users Predictions: Paula Badosa will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mboko is ranked WTA: 162. Badosa is ranked WTA: 11.

Mboko in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Badosa is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mboko could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Badosa will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Mboko to win the game is with odds 2.64.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Victoria Mboko
WTA Miami
19.03.25	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Victoria Mboko	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.03.25	Harriet Dart - Victoria Mboko	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Victoria Mboko - Anouk Koevermans	2:1 ✺
07.03.25	Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales - Victoria Mboko	0:2 ✺
06.03.25	Angelina Voloshchuk - Victoria Mboko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWWW
- Paula Badosa
WTA Indian Wells
07.03.25	Caroline Dolehide - Paula Badosa	Canceled ✺
WTA Merida
28.02.25	Daria Saville - Paula Badosa	Badosa P. retired ✺
26.02.25	Jaqueline Adina Cristian - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
WTA Dubai
19.02.25	Elena Rybakina - Paula Badosa	2:1 ✺
18.02.25	Elise Mertens - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 ??WLW

Victoria Mboko - Paula Badosa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide