Match Info

Date: 10 March 2020, Tuesday


	Pavel Kotov		Dmitry Popko

	1	2
	2	1.72	Watch
	2.05	1.65
			Watch
	2.06	1.65
	2.17	1.7
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.12	1.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.27)	1.66 ↑ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Kotov
44.1%

Dmitry Popko
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Kotov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Dmitry Popko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dmitry Popko than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Pavel Kotov - Dmitry Popko Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Kotov will win (votes: 20 - 57.1%). Popko will win (votes: 15 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kotov: 40.7% – 73.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Kotov
ATP Challenger
09.03.20	Dostanbek Tashbulatov - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
27.02.20	Benjamin Bonzi - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
25.02.20	Pavel Kotov - Antoine Hoang	2:1 ✺
24.02.20	Pavel Kotov - Tristan Lamasine	2:1 ✺
19.02.20	Ergi Kirkin - Pavel Kotov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLWWL
- Dmitry Popko
ATP Challenger
20.02.20	Dmitry Popko - Roberto Ortega-Olmedo	1:2 ✺
19.02.20	Dmitry Popko - Martin Redlicki	2:0 ✺
12.02.20	Dmitry Popko - Skander Mansouri	0:2 ✺
03.02.20	Dmitry Popko - Kevin King	0:2 ✺
27.01.20	Dmitry Popko - Sekou Bangoura	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL

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