Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: WINSTON-SALEM (USA), HARD - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 21 August 2023, Monday


	Pavel Kotov		Mitchell Krueger

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.75	2.05
	1.74	2.1
	1.74	2.09
	1.77	2.16
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.71	2.14	Watch
	1.76	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.58)	2.1 ↓ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Kotov
54.7%

Mitchell Krueger
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pavel Kotov's form might have worsened.

Mitchell Krueger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mitchell Krueger's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pavel Kotov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mitchell Krueger than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mitchell Krueger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.7%	0%	26.3%

Pavel Kotov - Mitchell Krueger Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Kotov will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Krueger will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kotov: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Kotov is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Krueger is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kotov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Kotov
ATP Hamburg
22.07.23	Pavel Kotov - Jozef Kovalik	1:2 ✺
ATP Bastad
20.07.23	Pavel Kotov - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
18.07.23	Marco Cecchinato - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
17.07.23	Pavel Kotov - Enzo Couacaud	2:1 ✺
17.07.23	Pavel Kotov - Max Dahlin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWWW
- Mitchell Krueger
ATP Winston-Salem
20.08.23	Mitchell Krueger - Inaki Montes De La Torre	2:0 ✺
19.08.23	Mitchell Krueger - Alexey Zakharov	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.08.23	Michael Mmoh - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
13.08.23	Mitchell Krueger - Jacob Brumm	2:0 ✺
12.08.23	Mitchell Krueger - Hudson Rivera Rivera	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLWW

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