Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Manacor 3, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday


	Pavel Lagutin		Egor Pleshivtsev

	1	2
	1.34	2.88	Watch
	1.36	3
	1.25	3.43	Watch
	1.32	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.34)	3.08 ↑ (2.88)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Lagutin
70%

Egor Pleshivtsev
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Lagutin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Egor Pleshivtsev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Lagutin than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pavel Lagutin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Egor Pleshivtsev than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Egor Pleshivtsev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pavel Lagutin - Egor Pleshivtsev Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lagutin (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lagutin is ranked ATP: 878. Pleshivtsev is ranked ATP: 1240.

Lagutin is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Pleshivtsev has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Pleshivtsev may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Lagutin is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lagutin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Lagutin
ITF Tournaments
21.01.26	Mae Malige - Pavel Lagutin	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	Pavel Lagutin - Yaroslav Demin	0:2 ✺
09.01.26	Julian Alonso - Pavel Lagutin	0:2 ✺
08.01.26	Tito Chavez - Pavel Lagutin	0:2 ✺
06.01.26	Egor Pleshivtsev - Pavel Lagutin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWWW
- Egor Pleshivtsev
ITF Tournaments
21.01.26	Tim Loosen - Egor Pleshivtsev	0:2 ✺
21.01.26	Gijs Brouwer - Egor Pleshivtsev	Canceled ✺
17.01.26	Jack Loge - Egor Pleshivtsev	Pleshivtsev E. retired ✺
16.01.26	Gavin Young - Egor Pleshivtsev	0:2 ✺
15.01.26	Yaroslav Demin - Egor Pleshivtsev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 W??WW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
06.01.26	Egor Pleshivtsev - Pavel Lagutin	0:2

Pavel Lagutin - Egor Pleshivtsev: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide