Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Troyes, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 June 2026, Tuesday


	Pavel Lagutin		Eliakim Coulibaly

	1	2
	2.30	1.58
	2.07	1.76
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.16	1.62
	2.20	1.60	Watch
	2.16	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.09)	1.63 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Lagutin
42.6%

Eliakim Coulibaly
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Lagutin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Eliakim Coulibaly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Lagutin than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eliakim Coulibaly than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Pavel Lagutin - Eliakim Coulibaly Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lagutin will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Coulibaly will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lagutin is ranked ATP: 768. Coulibaly is ranked ATP: 314.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Coulibaly may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Eliakim Coulibaly - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 55.79%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Lagutin
ATP Challenger
29.06.26	Pavel Lagutin - Franco Ribero	2:0 ✺
28.06.26	Jan Kumstat - Pavel Lagutin	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.05.26	Oriol Roca Batalla - Pavel Lagutin	2:1 ✺
19.05.26	Noah Lopez Cherubino - Pavel Lagutin	0:2 ✺
13.05.26	Daniel Rincon - Pavel Lagutin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLWL
- Eliakim Coulibaly
ATP Challenger
30.06.26	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Eliakim Coulibaly	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.06.26	Eliakim Coulibaly - Francisco Rocha	Coulibaly E. Retired ✺
25.06.26	Eliakim Coulibaly - Patrick Schoen	2:1 ✺
24.06.26	Eliakim Coulibaly - John Echeverria	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.06.26	Eliakim Coulibaly - Felix Balshaw	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 ??WWL

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