Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Troyes, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 June 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Troyes 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Pavel Lagutin		Eliakim Coulibaly

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Pavel Lagutin
42.6%

Eliakim Coulibaly
57.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.2%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Lagutin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Eliakim Coulibaly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Lagutin than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eliakim Coulibaly than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lagutin will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Coulibaly will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lagutin is ranked ATP: 768. Coulibaly is ranked ATP: 314.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Coulibaly may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Lagutin
ATP Challenger
29.06.26	Pavel Lagutin - Franco Ribero	2:0 ✺
28.06.26	Jan Kumstat - Pavel Lagutin	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.05.26	Oriol Roca Batalla - Pavel Lagutin	2:1 ✺
19.05.26	Noah Lopez Cherubino - Pavel Lagutin	0:2 ✺
13.05.26	Daniel Rincon - Pavel Lagutin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLWL
- Eliakim Coulibaly
ATP Challenger
30.06.26	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Eliakim Coulibaly	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.06.26	Eliakim Coulibaly - Francisco Rocha	Coulibaly E. Retired ✺
25.06.26	Eliakim Coulibaly - Patrick Schoen	2:1 ✺
24.06.26	Eliakim Coulibaly - John Echeverria	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.06.26	Eliakim Coulibaly - Felix Balshaw	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 ??WWL

Pavel Lagutin - Eliakim Coulibaly