Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Tarragona, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	Pavel Lagutin		Ivan Ivanov

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.55	1.52
	2.43	1.48	Watch
	2.5	1.44
	2.39	1.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.7)	1.49 ↑ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Lagutin
37.6%

Ivan Ivanov
62.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

65%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Lagutin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Ivan Ivanov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Lagutin than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ivan Ivanov than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Pavel Lagutin - Ivan Ivanov Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Lagutin will win (votes: 9 - 90%). Ivanov will win (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lagutin: 71.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pavel Lagutin will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lagutin is ranked ATP: 825. Ivanov is ranked ATP: 780.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Ivanov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Lagutin
ITF Tournaments
27.03.26	Cesar Bouchelaghem - Pavel Lagutin	0:2 ✺
26.03.26	Antoni Fabre - Pavel Lagutin	0:2 ✺
18.03.26	Reda Bennani - Pavel Lagutin	2:0 ✺
05.03.26	Pavel Lagutin - Johan Oscar Lien	0:2 ✺
04.03.26	Gerard Campana Lee - Pavel Lagutin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLLW
- Ivan Ivanov
ITF Tournaments
27.03.26	Oscar Jose Gutierrez - Ivan Ivanov	0:2 ✺
26.03.26	Lucca Helguera Casado - Ivan Ivanov	0:2 ✺
25.03.26	Ivan Ivanov - Sean Cuenin	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.03.26	Benjamin Hassan - Ivan Ivanov	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.02.26	Joao Domingues - Ivan Ivanov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWW?L

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