Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Denia, clay - Final

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday


	Pavel Lagutin		Pedro Rodenas

	1	2
			Watch
	1.87	1.80
	1.94	1.76
	1.92	1.90
	1.97	1.71	Watch
	1.89	1.88
	1.85	1.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.76)	1.81 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Lagutin
48.7%

Pedro Rodenas
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Lagutin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Pedro Rodenas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Lagutin than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pavel Lagutin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Rodenas than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pedro Rodenas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pavel Lagutin - Pedro Rodenas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lagutin is ranked ATP: 710. Rodenas is ranked ATP: 793.

Recent performances by Lagutin have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rodenas is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lagutin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Lagutin
ITF Tournaments
25.07.26	Carlos Lopez Montagud - Pavel Lagutin	0:2 ✺
24.07.26	Pavel Lagutin - Lorenzo Angelini	Angelini L. Retired ✺
23.07.26	Ignacio Parisca - Pavel Lagutin	Parisca I. Retired ✺
22.07.26	Xavier Ferrer Mateo - Pavel Lagutin	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.07.26	Pavel Lagutin - Alejo Sanchez Quilez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 W??WL
- Pedro Rodenas
ITF Tournaments
25.07.26	Pedro Rodenas - Reda Bennani	2:0 ✺
24.07.26	Pedro Rodenas - Oscar Jose Gutierrez	2:0 ✺
23.07.26	Mario Arce Fernandez - Pedro Rodenas	0:2 ✺
22.07.26	Pedro Rodenas - Sergi Fita Juan	2:0 ✺
14.07.26	Ignacio Parisca - Pedro Rodenas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
27.11.25	Pavel Lagutin - Pedro Rodenas	0:2

Pavel Lagutin - Pedro Rodenas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide