Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Tamworth 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tamworth 2 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Pavle Marinkov		Blake Ellis

	1	2
			Watch
	2.80	1.36
	3.00	1.34	Watch
	2.56	1.43	Watch
	2.85	1.40
	2.66	1.40	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.21)	1.39 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Pavle Marinkov
33.3%

Blake Ellis
66.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.6%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavle Marinkov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pavle Marinkov's form might have worsened.

Blake Ellis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Blake Ellis's recent form is better than expected.

Pavle Marinkov - Blake Ellis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Marinkov is ranked ATP: 611., and Ellis is ranked ATP: 451..

Ellis is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Ellis may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Ellis is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Our forecast points to a victory for Ellis in today's match, at odds of 1.57.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Marinkov has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3 (averaging 0.7:1 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Pavle Marinkov - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 41.62%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Blake Ellis - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 58.38%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavle Marinkov
ITF Tournaments
20.10.26	Pavle Marinkov - Philip Sekulic	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.07.26	Pavle Marinkov - Christian Langmo	0:2 ✺
19.07.26	Mikael Arseneault - Pavle Marinkov	2:0 ✺
13.07.26	Yibing Wu - Pavle Marinkov	2:0 ✺
12.07.26	Ronit Karki - Pavle Marinkov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW
- Blake Ellis
ITF Tournaments
24.10.26	Blake Ellis - Isaac Becroft	1:2 ✺
23.10.26	Stefan Vujic - Blake Ellis	0:2
23.10.26	Blake Ellis - Herman Hoeyeraal	2:0 ✺
22.10.26	Blake Ellis - Zane Stevens	2:1 ✺
21.10.26	Blake Ellis - Benjamin O`Connell	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
24.11.25	Pavle Marinkov - Blake Ellis	2:1
ITF Tournaments
14.03.25	Pavle Marinkov - Blake Ellis	Ellis B. retired
ATP Challenger
29.01.25	Blake Ellis - Pavle Marinkov	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blake Ellis
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Anton Shepp - Blake Ellis

Pavle Marinkov - Blake Ellis