Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lincoln - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday


	Ronit Karki		Pavle Marinkov

	1	2
	2.25	1.55
	2.28	1.55
	2.21	1.75
	2.3	1.55	Watch
	2.03	1.73
	2.18	1.61	Watch
	2.15	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.85)	1.62 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ronit Karki
42.5%

Pavle Marinkov
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

67.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

71.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ronit Karki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ronit Karki's performance.

Pavle Marinkov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pavle Marinkov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ronit Karki than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ronit Karki that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavle Marinkov than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pavle Marinkov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Ronit Karki - Pavle Marinkov Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Karki will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Marinkov will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Karki is ranked ATP: 879. Marinkov is ranked ATP: 530.

Recent performances by Karki have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Marinkov's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Karki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Marinkov might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ronit Karki
ATP Challenger
28.06.26	Ronit Karki - James Kent Trotter	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.06.26	Spencer Johnson - Ronit Karki	2:1 ✺
19.06.26	Bryce Nakashima - Ronit Karki	2:0 ✺
18.06.26	Vit Kalina - Ronit Karki	0:2 ✺
17.06.26	Felipe Vazquez - Ronit Karki	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLWW
- Pavle Marinkov
ITF Tournaments
16.06.26	Pavle Marinkov - Christian Langmo	0:2 ✺
11.06.26	Pavle Marinkov - Duncan Chan	0:2 ✺
09.06.26	Pavle Marinkov - Ryan Colby	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.05.26	Pavle Marinkov - Masamichi Imamura	0:2 ✺
24.05.26	Pavle Marinkov - Justin Boulais	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWLL

Ronit Karki - Pavle Marinkov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide