Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras (Portugal), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 January 2025, Tuesday


	Pedro Araujo		Ivan Gakhov

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.45	1.48
	2.42	1.5	Watch
			Watch
	2.31	1.57	Watch
	2.42	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.03)	1.51 ↓ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pedro Araujo
38.4%

Ivan Gakhov
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pedro Araujo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pedro Araujo's form might have worsened.

Ivan Gakhov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ivan Gakhov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Araujo than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pedro Araujo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ivan Gakhov than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ivan Gakhov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Pedro Araujo - Ivan Gakhov Predictions

Users Predictions: Ivan Gakhov will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Araujo is ranked ATP: 415. Gakhov is ranked ATP: 314.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Gakhov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pedro Araujo
ATP Challenger
28.11.24	Pedro Araujo - Andrej Martin	1:2 ✺
27.11.24	Alex Marti Pujolras - Pedro Araujo	0:2 ✺
25.11.24	Fabio Fognini - Pedro Araujo	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.11.24	Gauthier Onclin - Pedro Araujo	2:0 ✺
22.11.24	Viktor Durasovic - Pedro Araujo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LW?LW
- Ivan Gakhov
ATP Challenger
06.01.25	Ivan Gakhov - Cleeve Harper	2:1 ✺
05.01.25	Ivan Gakhov - Diogo Marques	2:0 ✺
26.11.24	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Ivan Gakhov	2:0 ✺
18.11.24	Ivan Gakhov - Max Alcala Gurri	1:2 ✺
17.11.24	Ivan Gakhov - Rafael De Alba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLLW

Pedro Araujo - Ivan Gakhov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide