Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Maia (Portugal), clay (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 November 2024, Tuesday


	Nicolas Alvarez Varona		Ivan Gakhov

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.64	2.12	Watch
	1.52	2.44	Watch
			Watch
	1.63	2.19	Watch
	1.64	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.77)	2.2 ↑ (1.95)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Alvarez Varona
57.8%

Ivan Gakhov
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Alvarez Varona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nicolas Alvarez Varona's performance.

Ivan Gakhov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ivan Gakhov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nicolas Alvarez Varona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ivan Gakhov than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ivan Gakhov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Ivan Gakhov Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Alvarez Varona will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Gakhov will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alvarez Varona is ranked ATP: 382. Gakhov is ranked ATP: 308.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Gakhov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alvarez Varona won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Alvarez Varona
ATP Challenger
25.11.24	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Max Alcala Gurri	2:1 ✺
24.11.24	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Joao Dinis Silva	2:0 ✺
17.11.24	David Pichler - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:1 ✺
11.11.24	Alexis Gautier - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	Alvarez Varona N. retired ✺
10.11.24	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWL?W
- Ivan Gakhov
ATP Challenger
18.11.24	Ivan Gakhov - Max Alcala Gurri	1:2 ✺
17.11.24	Ivan Gakhov - Rafael De Alba	2:0 ✺
08.10.24	Ivan Gakhov - Jaime Faria	1:2 ✺
07.10.24	Carlos Lopez Montagud - Ivan Gakhov	1:2 ✺
06.10.24	Sergi Fita Juan - Ivan Gakhov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
29.11.20	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Ivan Gakhov	2:0

Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Ivan Gakhov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide