Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Montemar - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 17 November 2025, Monday


	Pedro Rodenas		Stefan Palosi

	1	2
			Watch
	1.46	2.55	Watch
	1.45	2.7
	1.57	2.28	Watch
			Watch
	1.44	2.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.66)	2.53 ↑ (2.11)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pedro Rodenas
63.1%

Stefan Palosi
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pedro Rodenas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pedro Rodenas's performance.

Stefan Palosi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stefan Palosi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Rodenas than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pedro Rodenas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefan Palosi than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stefan Palosi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Pedro Rodenas - Stefan Palosi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rodenas is ranked ATP: 1096. Palosi is ranked ATP: 537.

Now, both players are in good form.

Rodenas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Rodenas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pedro Rodenas
ATP Challenger
16.11.25	Raul Brancaccio - Pedro Rodenas	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.11.25	Pedro Rodenas - Carlos Sanchez Jover	1:2 ✺
08.11.25	Pedro Rodenas - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
07.11.25	Pedro Rodenas - Patrick Schoen	2:0 ✺
06.11.25	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Pedro Rodenas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WLWWW
- Stefan Palosi
ATP Challenger
16.11.25	Sergi Perez Contri - Stefan Palosi	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.10.25	Stefan Palosi - Dusan Obradovic	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Stefan Palosi - Stijn Paardekooper	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Filip Cristian Jianu - Stefan Palosi	0:2 ✺
26.09.25	Niklas Guttau - Stefan Palosi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLWWW

Pedro Rodenas - Stefan Palosi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide